Week Ahead: 28 Apr 2025 Big Tech earnings and U.S. President Trump’s tariff policies are expected to drive market direction in the week ahead. Medium Term: S&P 500 (SPX): The S&P 500 Index reversed its momentum, closing above its downtrend line. However, as our long-term indicator remains negative, we maintain a neutral view on the U.S. market — bullish in the short term but cautious on the long-term trend. In the week ahead, we expect the index to trade within the 5,350–5,550 range. A bullish scenario could see an extension towards the 5,780 resistance zone. Selective positioning for investors, while traders could consider tactical trading between 5,350 and 5,550. Stop loss below 5,300. Hang Seng Index (HSI): Our China Market Long-Term Cycle indicator continues to reflect a sustained upward trend , while the Hang Seng Index (HSI) remains within its established ascending trend channel. Our base case anticipates a continued rebound in the HSI towards 22,800. ...
Bitcoin Breaks Out: A Real-Time Example of What We Covered in Our Trend Mastery Webinar Bitcoin has just delivered a textbook breakout — and it’s the exact setup we discussed during our Mastering Trends webinar last week. Channel & Regression Line Breakout As shown in the chart, BTC/USD has successfully broken out of its downward channel which is also our upper regression line — a dual confirmation that strengthens the bullish case. Trade Setup Entry Trigger : Break above channel and regression line 1st Target : $91,500 2nd Target : $98,000 Stop : $83,000 Lesson in Action: Regression + Moving Average Confirmation During the webinar, we discussed how aligning a regression line with a long-term moving average helps filter out noise and confirm the trend direction. In this case, the 5 0-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) provided strong confluence with the regression slope, reinforcing the upward momentum. This setup is an example of how combining struc...