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Straits Times Index (STI) Forecast


STI Index Not Looking Good At The Moment

STI has been trading in a up trend channel since late 2016. Momentum peaked as STI traded near resistance at 3,350-3,400, with MACD Indicator trades near previous high. What's significant this week is STI breaking below the support line. This provides technical reason that sellers are beginning to dominate the trading.

If the bearish momentum persist, STI is projected to trade towards 3,100-3,120 which is a previous resistance turned support zone and also the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level.

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Wyckoff's Law of Effort

Law of Effort Wyckoff's Law of Effort states that on any single trading day (or week depending on time frame), huge volume (effort) push by participants should see huge price movement, resulting in a wide spread (long body). This is a basic principle of effort and result. However, as per Singtel's case study, we saw huge selling volume on 11 May, yet the price action only shows a narrow spread (small body). This divergence of effort and result in Wyckoff's Law of Effort principles, indicates possible exhaustion in selling or hidden buying. Thus, with a lack of weakness, Singtel should continue trading range bound for the coming days or weeks till further strength or weakness is observed. Swing Traders who trades range can consider positions at 3.70-3.72, with exit target 3.76-3.78.

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

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Keppel DC REIT (AJBU): Expect price to trade towards S$2.00

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