Skip to main content

Monthly Market Forecast

Straits Times Index (FTSE STI)

For April, STI made new high as it closed at 3,613.93, the index last visited this level on 7 Dec 2011. However, STI has also reached its 423.6% Fibo level with MACD (Monthly) is hovering near the upper end of its bullish, which may potentially prove to be a foppish signal. But with its Heikin Ashi bars continues trading in bullish momentum, we will continue our bullish call on STI.


Forecast Direction: Upward towards 3,700
Alternate Direction: Sideways range between 3,450


Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)

Bulls and bears struggling to gain control. DJIA managed to breakout from its downtrend line (Weekly) but is struggling to maintain its bullish momentum with the small Heikin Ashi body for the past few weeks. We want to see stronger buying actions from the bulls for the index to resume uptrend.

Forecast Direction: Sideways range between 24,000 - 24,900
Alternate Direction: Downward towards 23,400



Hang Seng Index (HSI)

Similar to DJIA, Bulls and bears are struggling to gain control of HSI. Index is trading in a triangle pattern, with bulls gaining control during the last week of trading in April. Thus, We will want the bullishness to continue translate into a bullish triangle pattern breakout. Though the monthly HSI are seeing bears in control but they are not as agressive, especially with HSI weekly MACD looking to flatten near its zero. This could possibly means the index is consolidating instead of downward trending.

Forecast Direction: Sideways range between 31,500 - 30,000
Alternate Direction: Downward towards 29,100




Disclaimer Applies.

Most Popular

Wyckoff's Law of Effort

Law of Effort Wyckoff's Law of Effort states that on any single trading day (or week depending on time frame), huge volume (effort) push by participants should see huge price movement, resulting in a wide spread (long body). This is a basic principle of effort and result. However, as per Singtel's case study, we saw huge selling volume on 11 May, yet the price action only shows a narrow spread (small body). This divergence of effort and result in Wyckoff's Law of Effort principles, indicates possible exhaustion in selling or hidden buying. Thus, with a lack of weakness, Singtel should continue trading range bound for the coming days or weeks till further strength or weakness is observed. Swing Traders who trades range can consider positions at 3.70-3.72, with exit target 3.76-3.78.

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

  DBS Group Holdings (D05) Upward Move Expectations Technically, price trading above 36.58, could see DBS Group retest  previous high of 38.55. Both Relative Strength and momentum indicator FFI are supportive of the move. Stop below 35.42 Disclaimers apply

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU): Expect price to trade towards S$2.00

  Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) Expect price to trade towards S$2.00 We have observed a decrease in technical supply at the S$1.80 support area during recent trading sessions. Furthermore, a softer interest rate outlook could be advantageous for the Data Centre operator.  Consequently, we anticipate the REIT to move towards our initial target of S$2.00, with the potential to reach S$2.20 if it breaks through resistance. Our stop level is set below S$1.72. Disclaimers Apply