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Singapore National Day Market Rally, True?

 


Straits Times Index (STI) and National Day Rally Anomaly

Expectations Data from past 20 years suggest that the anomaly is mixed or returned lower that expectations.

However, any market correction during the period or August could be an opportunity to bottom fish, as most September saw STI ended positive.

Blog Disclaimers Apply



海峡时报指数和新加坡国庆


预期 过去 20 年的数据表明异常情况喜忧参半或低于预期

然而,在此期间或 8 月期间的任何市场调整都可能是探底的机会,因为大部分 9 月海指收涨

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Wyckoff's Law of Effort

Law of Effort Wyckoff's Law of Effort states that on any single trading day (or week depending on time frame), huge volume (effort) push by participants should see huge price movement, resulting in a wide spread (long body). This is a basic principle of effort and result. However, as per Singtel's case study, we saw huge selling volume on 11 May, yet the price action only shows a narrow spread (small body). This divergence of effort and result in Wyckoff's Law of Effort principles, indicates possible exhaustion in selling or hidden buying. Thus, with a lack of weakness, Singtel should continue trading range bound for the coming days or weeks till further strength or weakness is observed. Swing Traders who trades range can consider positions at 3.70-3.72, with exit target 3.76-3.78.

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

  DBS Group Holdings (D05) Upward Move Expectations Technically, price trading above 36.58, could see DBS Group retest  previous high of 38.55. Both Relative Strength and momentum indicator FFI are supportive of the move. Stop below 35.42 Disclaimers apply

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU): Expect price to trade towards S$2.00

  Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) Expect price to trade towards S$2.00 We have observed a decrease in technical supply at the S$1.80 support area during recent trading sessions. Furthermore, a softer interest rate outlook could be advantageous for the Data Centre operator.  Consequently, we anticipate the REIT to move towards our initial target of S$2.00, with the potential to reach S$2.20 if it breaks through resistance. Our stop level is set below S$1.72. Disclaimers Apply