Skip to main content

One area to generate alpha: Chinese Banks

 




Equities continue to trade within a confined range despite a week filled with announcements and reports. The upcoming earnings announcements could potentially trigger a directional market move.

One area to explore for alpha generation could be Chinese banks. As the property market rebounds from regulatory crackdowns and the government's stimulus takes effect, banks are poised to benefit from a surge in new mortgage activity. Average new home prices in China declined by 0.8% YoY in March 2023, an improvement from the 1.2% drop in February.

Since global markets rebounded in early November 22, three major Chinese banks have yielded an average return of approx +24%, outperforming the S&P 500's +11% gain, when measured in USD terms. And dividend yields average at 8%p.a..

Headlines for Week Ahead:
Corporate Earnings (banks, Netflix, LVS) 
China 1Q23 GDP
SG Mar NODX


Most Popular

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

  DBS Group Holdings (D05) Upward Move Expectations Technically, price trading above 36.58, could see DBS Group retest  previous high of 38.55. Both Relative Strength and momentum indicator FFI are supportive of the move. Stop below 35.42 Disclaimers apply

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength On Friday, we observed strong buying within a wide trading range, with the stock closing near the day’s high and good volume recorded. The previous two days of selling showed relatively low volume, indicating potential supply exhaustion. The stock price is currently at a key resistance level, constrained by a downward trendline and a horizontal support-turned-resistance line. A breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal , with an initial technical price target of HK$300.00. The stock is outperforming the broader market, indicating strong market demand, as evidenced by our proprietary Relative Strength Indicator (RSI), which is above zero. Additionally, the volume momentum indicator (FFI) is improving, further supporting the possibility of supply exhaustion. The Stochastic indicator also continues to trend higher, reinforcing a bullish outlook. A stop-loss price is set below HK$248.40 . If the price falls below this l...

Week Ahead: Trump Trade and the Resilient US Economy

  Week Ahead, 9 Dec 2024 Macro News: U.S. markets continued their record-breaking streak this week following a reassuring speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, highlighting Fed's cautious yet comfortable stance on rate cuts. Beneficiaries of the "Trump Trade" also saw significant gains, with Tesla Inc. rising by +12.77% and Bitcoin up +2.24% for the week. The U.S. technology sector, represented by the QQQ ETF, also performed strongly, boosted by Friday's jobs report, which indicated a resilient economy. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng Index (2800 ETF) experienced a technical turnaround, gaining +2.28% this week. The rally was fuelled by speculation that Beijing might introduce additional lending and mortgage rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Medium Term: • S&P 500 (SPX): Index remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. • Straits Times Index (STI): STI reversed near our 3,860 resistance zone. We are neutral and is looking out for...