Market profit take as US FED is expected to hold rates

The US Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25%-5.5% at its meeting today. All eyes will also be on the People's Bank of China's loan prime rate decision, following the surprise reserve requirement ratio cut this week.

The S&P 500 continues to trade within a large range of 4,330-4,550, as demand and supply battle for dominance. The FOMC policy speech could be a trigger for a directional move.

We do not have a tactical idea for US market. However, it's worth highlighting that the REITs sector has begun to witness increased activity in recent weeks, driven by expectations of a pause in interest rate hikes. Capitaland India Trust (C6YU:SGX), in particular, has broken out of its previous downtrend, suggesting the possibility of entering an accumulation phase before a potential uptrend.

*Headlines for Week Ahead:*
US FOMC Meeting
US S&P Global PMI
China LPR fixing
SG Aug NODX

Wyckoff's Law of Effort

Law of Effort Wyckoff's Law of Effort states that on any single trading day (or week depending on time frame), huge volume (effort) push by participants should see huge price movement, resulting in a wide spread (long body). This is a basic principle of effort and result. However, as per Singtel's case study, we saw huge selling volume on 11 May, yet the price action only shows a narrow spread (small body). This divergence of effort and result in Wyckoff's Law of Effort principles, indicates possible exhaustion in selling or hidden buying. Thus, with a lack of weakness, Singtel should continue trading range bound for the coming days or weeks till further strength or weakness is observed. Swing Traders who trades range can consider positions at 3.70-3.72, with exit target 3.76-3.78.

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

DBS Group Holdings (D05) Upward Move Expectations Technically, price trading above 36.58, could see DBS Group retest previous high of 38.55. Both Relative Strength and momentum indicator FFI are supportive of the move. Stop below 35.42 Disclaimers apply

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU): Expect price to trade towards S$2.00

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) Expect price to trade towards S$2.00 We have observed a decrease in technical supply at the S$1.80 support area during recent trading sessions. Furthermore, a softer interest rate outlook could be advantageous for the Data Centre operator. Consequently, we anticipate the REIT to move towards our initial target of S$2.00, with the potential to reach S$2.20 if it breaks through resistance. Our stop level is set below S$1.72. Disclaimers Apply

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