Skip to main content

S&P 500 Technically Under Pressure

 



S&P 500 Technically Under Pressure
As shared during our previous weekly update, US FOMC announce was a likely trigger of a directional move on the markets after weeks of consolidation. The financial markets reacted negatively to the Fed's talk of tightening and the expectation of prolonged high interest rates in the USA. Soaring oil prices have also added to inflationary pressures.

Following a week of central bank announcements, the upcoming week will see a shift in attention towards key macroeconomic data. Markets will be focusing on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, US FED’s crucial indicator of inflation trend. Data on personal income and spending will provide insights into consumer behavior and economic health.

From a technical perspective, the S&P 500 has recently exhibited a gap followed by a subsequent downward movement, which is generally considered unfavorable for the markets. This downward momentum may potentially lead to a mid term downtrend move.

In our strategic approach to trading and portfolio management, we will closely monitor our medium-term outlook for the US markets. And during this time, we will lookout for both bullish (LONG) and bearish (SHORT) trading opportunities for the upcoming week.

Lastly, our focus in the Greater China (Hong Kong and China) markets, remains on identifying long investment and trading prospects.

Headlines for Week Ahead:
US PCE Data
US FOMC members speaking at various events
China Aug PMI
SG Sept CPI
SG Ind Prod
US Corp Earnings (COST, MU, NKE)

Most Popular

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

  DBS Group Holdings (D05) Upward Move Expectations Technically, price trading above 36.58, could see DBS Group retest  previous high of 38.55. Both Relative Strength and momentum indicator FFI are supportive of the move. Stop below 35.42 Disclaimers apply

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength On Friday, we observed strong buying within a wide trading range, with the stock closing near the day’s high and good volume recorded. The previous two days of selling showed relatively low volume, indicating potential supply exhaustion. The stock price is currently at a key resistance level, constrained by a downward trendline and a horizontal support-turned-resistance line. A breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal , with an initial technical price target of HK$300.00. The stock is outperforming the broader market, indicating strong market demand, as evidenced by our proprietary Relative Strength Indicator (RSI), which is above zero. Additionally, the volume momentum indicator (FFI) is improving, further supporting the possibility of supply exhaustion. The Stochastic indicator also continues to trend higher, reinforcing a bullish outlook. A stop-loss price is set below HK$248.40 . If the price falls below this l...

Week Ahead: Trump Trade and the Resilient US Economy

  Week Ahead, 9 Dec 2024 Macro News: U.S. markets continued their record-breaking streak this week following a reassuring speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, highlighting Fed's cautious yet comfortable stance on rate cuts. Beneficiaries of the "Trump Trade" also saw significant gains, with Tesla Inc. rising by +12.77% and Bitcoin up +2.24% for the week. The U.S. technology sector, represented by the QQQ ETF, also performed strongly, boosted by Friday's jobs report, which indicated a resilient economy. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng Index (2800 ETF) experienced a technical turnaround, gaining +2.28% this week. The rally was fuelled by speculation that Beijing might introduce additional lending and mortgage rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Medium Term: • S&P 500 (SPX): Index remains above the 6,000 level and could trend towards the 6,180 zone. • Straits Times Index (STI): STI reversed near our 3,860 resistance zone. We are neutral and is looking out for...