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Tactical Opportunities in the Oil & Gas Sector

 




Thoughts on Week Ahead:
Week 3 Sept 2023

Tactical Opportunities in the Oil & Gas Sector
US crude oil inventories are steadily decreasing as we move into mid-July, leading to an uptick in spot crude oil prices due to heightened market demand. Consequently, we anticipate a potential influx of funds into Oil & Gas stocks as investors position themselves to capitalize on improved earnings margins within these companies.

This week, China has continued its efforts to bolster its economy by implementing more lenient mortgage policies for buyers in first-tier cities. This ongoing economic support is expected to bolster investor confidence, which bodes well for the Greater China equities market.

Regarding the S&P 500 index, we maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook. We anticipate relatively subdued trading activity this week as market participants closely monitor the release of the US FED beige book, which will provide insights into the FOMC's rate policy outlook. Additionally, with the upcoming Labor Day holiday shortening the trading week, we expect limited market movements. Immediate support levels stand at 4,458, with resistance at 4,600.

Headlines for Week Ahead:
US Holiday (Mon)
US ISM Report, US FED Beige Book
China Caixin PMI (Aug), CPI (Aug)
SG Retail Sales (Jul)

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Wyckoff's Law of Effort

Law of Effort Wyckoff's Law of Effort states that on any single trading day (or week depending on time frame), huge volume (effort) push by participants should see huge price movement, resulting in a wide spread (long body). This is a basic principle of effort and result. However, as per Singtel's case study, we saw huge selling volume on 11 May, yet the price action only shows a narrow spread (small body). This divergence of effort and result in Wyckoff's Law of Effort principles, indicates possible exhaustion in selling or hidden buying. Thus, with a lack of weakness, Singtel should continue trading range bound for the coming days or weeks till further strength or weakness is observed. Swing Traders who trades range can consider positions at 3.70-3.72, with exit target 3.76-3.78.

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

  DBS Group Holdings (D05) Upward Move Expectations Technically, price trading above 36.58, could see DBS Group retest  previous high of 38.55. Both Relative Strength and momentum indicator FFI are supportive of the move. Stop below 35.42 Disclaimers apply

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU): Expect price to trade towards S$2.00

  Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) Expect price to trade towards S$2.00 We have observed a decrease in technical supply at the S$1.80 support area during recent trading sessions. Furthermore, a softer interest rate outlook could be advantageous for the Data Centre operator.  Consequently, we anticipate the REIT to move towards our initial target of S$2.00, with the potential to reach S$2.20 if it breaks through resistance. Our stop level is set below S$1.72. Disclaimers Apply