Thoughts
on Week Ahead: Week 15
April 2024
As we
embark on the week ahead, it's important to acknowledge the evolving landscape
of market dynamics. Quoting from Netflix's '3 Body Problem,' we find ourselves
in what could be termed a 'Chaotic era.' The S&P 500 has entered a phase of
increased volatility, signaling a potential sideways or downward trend in the
short to medium term. Initial technical support rests at the 5,050 level,
marking a retracement of 23.60%.
This
shift in trend is likely influenced by stronger-than-anticipated inflation data
and job reports, prompting the US Federal Reserve to prolong its 'higher for
longer' rate policy.
While
bank earnings have failed to meet market expectations thus far, the onus now
falls on broader market earnings to sustain current optimism. Failure to do so
could result in investor sell-offs.
China A50 Index failed to break above trend resistance, cautious on tactical trades for Greater China.
Gold experienced climatic action on the final day of the trading week, we expect price to consolidate in the near term.
As we
navigate this dynamic landscape, we haven't identified any specific trading
opportunities for the upcoming week. And we will promptly update should any
arise.
Headlines
for the week:
- Corp
Earnings (GS, BAC, MS, LVS, Netflix, PG, Capital Intg Comm Trust)
- China 1Q24
GDP & Econ data
- SG Mar
NODX
Disclaimers
apply
Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025) Introduction: The Chinese zodiac plays a fascinating role in shaping cultural beliefs and behaviors. Among the 12 zodiac animals, the Year of the Snake is often associated with intelligence, caution, and financial shrewdness. We take a simply review of three key indices, S&P 500, Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Straits Times Index (STI), annual performance during the Year of the Snake. Key Observations from the Data: S&P 500 Performance: Average annual return: 0.47% . Win/Loss ratio: 37.5% (3 years of gains vs. 5 years of losses). Notable years: 1989 marked a robust gain of 27.25% , while 1941 saw a steep decline of -20.22% , coinciding with global tensions during World War II. HSI Performance: Average annual return: -5.36% . Win/Loss ratio: 66.67% (2 years of gains vs. 1 year of losses). Notable years: The index's strongest year was 1989, with a return of 5.55% , while 2001 suffered a severe decli...