Market Weekly Outlook

Week Ahead - 13 May 2024

After being presented with the “Mee Siam” cake, PM Lee will be stepping down this week, with Finance Minister Lawrence Wong stepping up to lead Singapore into the future. Meanwhile, the Straits Times Index (STI) continues to trade within a range, showing potential to retest the 3,350 level, with support at 3,240. The release of April's non-oil domestic exports on Friday could significantly influence the STI, especially as earnings announcements begin to taper off.

Currently, no significant technical signals have been observed in the US, Hong Kong, and China markets. The US S&P 500 is range bound between 4,950 and 5,250. Separately, President Biden's announcement of imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs, we are closely monitoring for any notable technical movements in these stocks.

In Asia, the China A50 index is expected to retest its previous high of 13,500, bolstered by growing investor optimism and a series of economic and housing measures from Beijing. The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has reached a resistance zone at 18,400. If it maintains this level, the next resistance point to watch is 20,000.

Our strategy focuses on seeking long trades in the Hong Kong market, while adopting a selective approach in the Singapore and US markets.

Headlines for the week:
- US Corp Earnings (Home Depot, Walmart)
- SG Corp Earnings (SIA)
- US Apr CPI report, FOMC Chair Powell speaks
- China Apr Econ data
- SG Leadership transition, Apr NODX report

Disclaimers apply

Wyckoff's Law of Effort

Law of Effort Wyckoff's Law of Effort states that on any single trading day (or week depending on time frame), huge volume (effort) push by participants should see huge price movement, resulting in a wide spread (long body). This is a basic principle of effort and result. However, as per Singtel's case study, we saw huge selling volume on 11 May, yet the price action only shows a narrow spread (small body). This divergence of effort and result in Wyckoff's Law of Effort principles, indicates possible exhaustion in selling or hidden buying. Thus, with a lack of weakness, Singtel should continue trading range bound for the coming days or weeks till further strength or weakness is observed. Swing Traders who trades range can consider positions at 3.70-3.72, with exit target 3.76-3.78.

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

DBS Group Holdings (D05) Upward Move Expectations Technically, price trading above 36.58, could see DBS Group retest previous high of 38.55. Both Relative Strength and momentum indicator FFI are supportive of the move. Stop below 35.42 Disclaimers apply

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU): Expect price to trade towards S$2.00

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) Expect price to trade towards S$2.00 We have observed a decrease in technical supply at the S$1.80 support area during recent trading sessions. Furthermore, a softer interest rate outlook could be advantageous for the Data Centre operator. Consequently, we anticipate the REIT to move towards our initial target of S$2.00, with the potential to reach S$2.20 if it breaks through resistance. Our stop level is set below S$1.72. Disclaimers Apply

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