Skip to main content

Weekly Market Outlook

 


Thoughts on the Week Ahead:
Week of July 1, 2024

The US Presidential debate caused some volatility in Friday evening markets, as participants see the debate as favoring Donald Trump's return to the White House. Both equities and US Treasury bond prices fell after the debate.

On the bright side, the PCE report was positive, with inflation meeting market expectations. While we remain optimistic about the S&P 500, its inability to break above 5,500 and its decline on Friday is concerning. We are closely monitoring market trading actions and the crucial 5,375 support level.

In China, markets continue to face volatility. Our support for the Hang Seng Index (HSI) remains at 17,000-17,200.

Meanwhile, the Singapore Straits Times Index (STI) has returned to its resistance level. We could see a decisive move up or down this coming week.

We are cautious on the markets but will continue to identify trading opportunities in the coming week

Headlines for the week:
- US FOMC Minutes, Job Report, market closes on Thurs
- HK market closes on Mon
- SG May PMI, 


Disclaimers apply

Most Popular

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025)

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025) Introduction: The Chinese zodiac plays a fascinating role in shaping cultural beliefs and behaviors. Among the 12 zodiac animals, the Year of the Snake is often associated with intelligence, caution, and financial shrewdness. We take a simply review of three key indices, S&P 500, Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Straits Times Index (STI),  annual performance  during the Year of the Snake. Key Observations from the Data: S&P 500 Performance: Average annual return: 0.47% . Win/Loss ratio: 37.5% (3 years of gains vs. 5 years of losses). Notable years: 1989 marked a robust gain of 27.25% , while 1941 saw a steep decline of -20.22% , coinciding with global tensions during World War II. HSI Performance: Average annual return: -5.36% . Win/Loss ratio: 66.67% (2 years of gains vs. 1 year of losses). Notable years: The index's strongest year was 1989, with a return of 5.55% , while 2001 suffered a severe decli...
Read more

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength On Friday, we observed strong buying within a wide trading range, with the stock closing near the day’s high and good volume recorded. The previous two days of selling showed relatively low volume, indicating potential supply exhaustion. The stock price is currently at a key resistance level, constrained by a downward trendline and a horizontal support-turned-resistance line. A breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal , with an initial technical price target of HK$300.00. The stock is outperforming the broader market, indicating strong market demand, as evidenced by our proprietary Relative Strength Indicator (RSI), which is above zero. Additionally, the volume momentum indicator (FFI) is improving, further supporting the possibility of supply exhaustion. The Stochastic indicator also continues to trend higher, reinforcing a bullish outlook. A stop-loss price is set below HK$248.40 . If the price falls below this l...
Read more

Live Webinar: Introduction to Tactical Allocation (The Basics of Trading)

Live Webinar: Introduction to Tactical Allocation (The Basics of Trading) The upcoming webinar is designed to equip new traders or someone who has experience trading the markets with the knowledge and tools to navigate the markets with a disciplined allocation process. Webinar Details: Title: Introduction to Tactical Allocation (The Basics of Trading) Date and Time:  12 Dec 24 (Thursday), 7.30pm Platform:  Live Webinar Registration: Click HERE What You'll Learn: An introduction to various financial markets and instruments Momentum and Fundemental Techniques Effective risk management strategy Steps to develop a personalized trading plan Who Should Attend: This webinar is perfect for: Individuals new to tactical allocation (trading) Those looking to enhance their financial literacy (in the area of tactical portoflio allocation) Anyone interested in understanding market dynamics Registeration:  Click  HERE (You will be lead to a SGX Academy registration website)
Read more