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Weekly Market Outlook

 




Week of July 8, 2024
 
"Oh my gosh! I'm Anxiety! Where can I put my stuff?" from the movie "Inside Out 2". Anxiety often strikes when deciding whether to enter a trade when markets are "high" and continue to rise.

From my experience, position sizing and anxiety have an almost inverse relationship. Therefore, when markets are high but you still need to follow your trading process, reduce your position size. This allows you to participate with less anxiety, benefiting you as a trader or investor as you continue to follow your process.
 
US markets hit fresh highs this week, with the Singapore market also moving higher, thanks to the banking sector and SingTel. Meanwhile, Greater China equities continue to stay afloat at current support levels.
 
The next technical target for the S&P 500 is 5,680, while the next target for the STI is 3,500.
 
We will continue to look out for long trades in the coming week.
 
Headlines for the week:
- US Jerome Powell Congress Testimony, Jun CPI, Banks Earnings
- China Jun CPI, Jun Exports
- SG 2Q24 Adv Est GDP,
 
Disclaimers apply


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Wyckoff's Law of Effort

Law of Effort Wyckoff's Law of Effort states that on any single trading day (or week depending on time frame), huge volume (effort) push by participants should see huge price movement, resulting in a wide spread (long body). This is a basic principle of effort and result. However, as per Singtel's case study, we saw huge selling volume on 11 May, yet the price action only shows a narrow spread (small body). This divergence of effort and result in Wyckoff's Law of Effort principles, indicates possible exhaustion in selling or hidden buying. Thus, with a lack of weakness, Singtel should continue trading range bound for the coming days or weeks till further strength or weakness is observed. Swing Traders who trades range can consider positions at 3.70-3.72, with exit target 3.76-3.78.

DBS Group Holdings (D05): Upward Move Expectations

  DBS Group Holdings (D05) Upward Move Expectations Technically, price trading above 36.58, could see DBS Group retest  previous high of 38.55. Both Relative Strength and momentum indicator FFI are supportive of the move. Stop below 35.42 Disclaimers apply

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU): Expect price to trade towards S$2.00

  Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) Expect price to trade towards S$2.00 We have observed a decrease in technical supply at the S$1.80 support area during recent trading sessions. Furthermore, a softer interest rate outlook could be advantageous for the Data Centre operator.  Consequently, we anticipate the REIT to move towards our initial target of S$2.00, with the potential to reach S$2.20 if it breaks through resistance. Our stop level is set below S$1.72. Disclaimers Apply