Skip to main content

Weekly Market Outlook

 





Week Ahead: July 12, 2024

Investors are eagerly anticipating the next phase of growth under Tan Su Shan, a seasoned banker and former DBS intern, as she takes the helm at Singapore's largest bank by market capitalization.

Recent downgrades have been observed in the Singapore banking sector, with Citibank issuing a Sell rating on the three major Singapore banks, and UOB Kay Hian’s Jonathan lowering the sector's rating to Market Weight. This recent sell-off could present opportunities for averaging in, but investors should remain cautious or consider lowering their allocation, as impending U.S. rate cuts could compress the banks' net interest margins (NIM).

Market sentiment is currently at one of its lowest points, according to CNN's Fear & Greed Index. Our Long-Term Market Cycle Indicator remains bullish, suggesting that this level presents buying opportunities. However, caution is advised, as short-term momentum has not yet reversed to bullish, and a confirmed reversal is preferred.

Headlines for the week:
- US Corp Earnings (Home Depot, CSCO, Walmart, AMAT and DE)
- SG Corp Earnings (CICT, Wilmar, Genting SP, CaplandInvest, CDL, ST Eng)
- US Jul CPI, PPI, Retail Sales
- China CPI
- SG Jul NODX, final 2Q24 GDP

Disclaimers apply

Most Popular

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025)

Historical Stock Market Performance During the Year of the Snake (2025) Introduction: The Chinese zodiac plays a fascinating role in shaping cultural beliefs and behaviors. Among the 12 zodiac animals, the Year of the Snake is often associated with intelligence, caution, and financial shrewdness. We take a simply review of three key indices, S&P 500, Hang Seng Index (HSI), and Straits Times Index (STI),  annual performance  during the Year of the Snake. Key Observations from the Data: S&P 500 Performance: Average annual return: 0.47% . Win/Loss ratio: 37.5% (3 years of gains vs. 5 years of losses). Notable years: 1989 marked a robust gain of 27.25% , while 1941 saw a steep decline of -20.22% , coinciding with global tensions during World War II. HSI Performance: Average annual return: -5.36% . Win/Loss ratio: 66.67% (2 years of gains vs. 1 year of losses). Notable years: The index's strongest year was 1989, with a return of 5.55% , while 2001 suffered a severe decli...

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength

BYD Co (1211:HK) Witnessing Signs of Strength On Friday, we observed strong buying within a wide trading range, with the stock closing near the day’s high and good volume recorded. The previous two days of selling showed relatively low volume, indicating potential supply exhaustion. The stock price is currently at a key resistance level, constrained by a downward trendline and a horizontal support-turned-resistance line. A breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal , with an initial technical price target of HK$300.00. The stock is outperforming the broader market, indicating strong market demand, as evidenced by our proprietary Relative Strength Indicator (RSI), which is above zero. Additionally, the volume momentum indicator (FFI) is improving, further supporting the possibility of supply exhaustion. The Stochastic indicator also continues to trend higher, reinforcing a bullish outlook. A stop-loss price is set below HK$248.40 . If the price falls below this l...

Live Webinar: Introduction to Tactical Allocation (The Basics of Trading)

Live Webinar: Introduction to Tactical Allocation (The Basics of Trading) The upcoming webinar is designed to equip new traders or someone who has experience trading the markets with the knowledge and tools to navigate the markets with a disciplined allocation process. Webinar Details: Title: Introduction to Tactical Allocation (The Basics of Trading) Date and Time:  12 Dec 24 (Thursday), 7.30pm Platform:  Live Webinar Registration: Click HERE What You'll Learn: An introduction to various financial markets and instruments Momentum and Fundemental Techniques Effective risk management strategy Steps to develop a personalized trading plan Who Should Attend: This webinar is perfect for: Individuals new to tactical allocation (trading) Those looking to enhance their financial literacy (in the area of tactical portoflio allocation) Anyone interested in understanding market dynamics Registeration:  Click  HERE (You will be lead to a SGX Academy registration website)