Market Technician

  Week Ahead: 28 Apr 2025 Big Tech earnings and U.S. President Trump’s tariff policies are expected to drive market direction in the week ahead. Medium Term:  S&P 500 (SPX): The S&P 500 Index reversed its momentum, closing above its downtrend line. However, as our long-term indicator remains negative, we maintain a neutral view on the U.S. market — bullish in the short term but cautious on the long-term trend.  In the week ahead, we expect the index to trade within the 5,350–5,550 range. A bullish scenario could see an extension towards the 5,780 resistance zone. Selective positioning for investors, while traders could consider tactical trading between 5,350 and 5,550. Stop loss below 5,300. Hang Seng Index (HSI): Our China Market Long-Term Cycle indicator continues to reflect a sustained upward trend , while the Hang Seng Index (HSI) remains within its established ascending trend channel. Our base case anticipates a continued rebound in the HSI towards 22,800. ...

  Bitcoin Breaks Out: A Real-Time Example of What We Covered in Our Trend Mastery Webinar Bitcoin has just delivered a textbook breakout — and it’s the exact setup we discussed during our Mastering Trends webinar last week. Channel & Regression Line Breakout As shown in the chart, BTC/USD has successfully broken out of its downward channel which is also our upper regression line — a dual confirmation that strengthens the bullish case.  Trade Setup Entry Trigger : Break above channel and regression line 1st Target : $91,500 2nd Target : $98,000 Stop : $83,000 Lesson in Action: Regression + Moving Average Confirmation During the webinar, we discussed how aligning a regression line with a long-term moving average helps filter out noise and confirm the trend direction. In this case, the 5 0-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) provided strong confluence with the regression slope, reinforcing the upward momentum. This setup is an example of how combining struc...

  Parkway Life REIT (SGX: C2PU)  Signs of Potential Accumulation Parkway Life REIT has exhibited notable price behavior in recent months, with emerging signs suggesting the development of a potential Wyckoff-style accumulation phase. The price structure and volume profile observed on the attached daily chart support this thesis, as the REIT approaches a pivotal technical juncture. In early 2025, Parkway Life REIT broke above the long-term 750-day moving average with increasing volume and relative strength versus the STI.  A confirmed breakout above the SGD 4.30 level, preferably with a volume surge and relative strength continuation, would validate a Mark Up transition. 📌 Action Plan: Initiate with a modest position at current levels. Increase exposure upon confirmed breakout above resistance. Stop below S$3.75 Disclaimers apply.

  Global Weekly Market Outlook — Week of 21 April 2025 Macro Pulse Policy remains the key driver of market direction. This week, focus shifts away from headline 1Q earnings numbers and toward forward guidance, tariff exposure, and supply chain commentary. The Trump administration announced docking fees on Chinese vessels and signaled the final phase of reciprocal tariffs. Meanwhile, the TikTok deal appears delayed. Markets are expected to trade tactically, with US policy and earnings tone setting the pace. Index Technical & Momentum Views S&P 500 (SPX) • Trend Signal: Downtrend intact • Setup: Price is testing the downward trendline — a potential inflection point • Base Case: Sideways consolidation between 4,800–5,600 • Action Plan: Monitor for breakout confirmation above trendline; current setup favors tactical range plays Chart  Commentary S&P 500 (SPX): The S&P 500 Index is approaching its downward trend line, and we are closely monitoring price action a...

  Week Ahead: 14 Apr 2025 “People were getting a little queasy…” and following the 90-day tariff pause announcement, “the bond market right now is beautiful,” remarked U.S. President Trump. Among the notable market extreme moves last week, investors took note that under Trump 2.0, the tolerance threshold—or the so-called “Trump put”—appears more anchored to the bond market than to equities. Separately, major indices currently resting at key technical support levels, markets may consolidate at current levels or experience a short-term rebound. Gold and the Japanese yen continued to strengthen, reflecting investor concerns over the implications of the administration’s tariff policies on the U.S. dollar and broader economic outlook. As the upcoming corporate earnings season commences, investors will be closely monitoring management commentary on the impact of tariffs on earnings performance and forward guidance. Medium Term: S&P 500 (SPX): Our proprietary SPX Long-Term Cycle ...

  Mastering Market Trends: From Analysis to Trading Strategies Date: Wednesday, 16 April 2025 Time: 7:30 PM – 8:30 PM Venue: Online (via SGX Academy) Speaker: Brandon Leu, CMT, CFTe Understanding market trends is the cornerstone of successful trading and investment strategies. I’m pleased to invite you to my upcoming webinar, “Mastering Market Trends: From Analysis to Trading Strategies,” hosted by SGX Academy on Wednesday, 16 April 2025 . This webinar is designed to equip participants with the tools and techniques necessary to navigate today’s complex market environment. Whether you’re an individual investor or a financial professional, this session will help deepen your understanding of how to effectively analyze and trade market and stock trends. We’ll begin with a clear breakdown of primary and secondary trends , and how to identify them across both market-wide and individual stock levels. Participants will gain the ability to distinguish between long-term trends and shor...

  Week Ahead: 7 Apr 2025 With the announcement of Reciprocal Tariffs, investors will be closely monitoring the responses from the affected countries in the week ahead, as well as President Trump's reaction to China's retaliation. Medium Term: S&P 500 (SPX): The downtrend has accelerated, with the S&P 500 continuing its decline and closing at our second support zone (Fibonacci 2.618%). The FFI indicates an extreme move. Our base case suggests that the index may consolidate within the 5,000–5,200 range in the coming week. In a worst-case scenario, the index could remain at current levels before trending lower. To signal any potential trend reversal, a decisive close above our upper downtrend line is required. Straits Times Index (STI): In line with our analysis, the Straits Times Index (STI) has turned lower, closing at its immediate support zone between 3,800 and 3,850. In the week ahead, if STI breaks below 3,800, it has the potential to test the next support zone at 3,...